Well, the group stages are almost over but there are still a few teams with everything to play for- and a few teams for whom progression has already faded as a tantalising dream, missed either by a whisker or a country mile. Here’s Computers 4 Africa’s take on the tournament so far:
It’s been a turbulent time for the hosts. South Africa did well in their opener against Mexico, putting in a spirited performance against an excellent Association Football team. Bafana Bafana did less well against the marauding Uruguay side- but then, so did everybody in Group A- but they bounced back to give a spirited, vintage performance against an admittedly fractured French side. Ultimately, it wasn’t enough- they fell short on goal difference at the last- but with a point score equal to that of second-placed rivals Mexico they can leave the tournament with their heads held high. Honestly nobody expected them to do well in this tournament, and recording a win against France- even a France team as fractious and divided as that on display yesterday- is no mean achievement.
Cameroon have had a torrid time of it, the African Cup of Nations quarter-finalists losing both of their opening games against Denmark and Japan. The Danish side is well-regarded, the Japanese a little more unknown- though Cameroon’s widely publicised problems with team coach Pul Le Guen can’t have helped. Their only remaining hope to salvage some face from this tournament comes against the Netherlands on Friday, but given that the Dutch are expected to do very well in this World Cup and will want to keep their momentum up after winning both of their opening games, it will not be easy. Indomitable the Lions may be, but for this tournament they have been beaten back.
Nigeria came achingly close to qualifying for a place in the last 16 yesterday, Argentina’s convincing win over Greece meaning that they just needed to win their game against the South Koreans. With veteran player Kanu back in the team and Yakubu leading the charge, they looked likely to do it at numerous stages throughout the game, too- they led 1-0 during the first half and had numerous chances to put another in even in the closing stages at 2-2, with Yakubu surely feeling disappointed with his miss in the 68th minute. Nigeria did finally produce the exciting, attacking football they are capable of in this game, but you can’t help but think that if they’d brought their A-game out before, particularly against an inferior Greece side, they would be celebrating today instead of heading home disappointed.
Côte D’Ivoire must surely be rueing their abysmal luck in the draw. For the second World Cup running they were put in a “Group of Death,” and while they’ve done well against some stern opposition and they’re not technically out of the tournament yet there was always going to be a mountain for them to climb and it’s going to take something of a miracle for them to progress at this stage. A draw against Portugal gave them a respectable start, and there is no shame in losing to Brazil- but it is the result achieved by Portugal against North Korea, a game the Elephants had no control over, which has made their final task all but impossible. It is well within their ability to beat the North Korean side, make no mistake- but with a goal difference of nine to make up, they must surely be hoping that the Brazilians put in some serious demolition work of their own if they are to have any real hope of qualifying.
Algeria have managed to punch a little above their weight in this tournament. Aided by an abysmal showing from England, they are technically still able to qualify- although it would take a win over an in-form United States team and a victory for England for them to do it, which seems unlikely at this stage given that the States will absolutely be looking to win the game in order to seal their place in the last sixteen and England- as you almost certainly know- have been playing extremely badly so far this tournament. Nonetheless, expect the Desert Foxes to play their hearts out this afternoon- a last-16 place would be a fantastic achievement for them.
All of which leaves us with Ghana. The Black Stars need at least a draw with the Germans to make sure of their progression into the last 16, giving them the best chance of any African side. They will still stand a good chance at progressing as long as they don’t lose by more than one goal this afternoon, though that would put them at the mercy of the Serbian team- if the Serbs beat Australia, then Ghana must win or draw.
The issue here is, of course, that they are playing against Germany. You can never expect the Germans to be anything less than fully committed, especially at a World Cup, and they will be a dangerous side to face regardless of their poor form against Serbia last Friday. Expect a tough match.